It is not very good for the fins at home. Not only are distressed properties (and all types of home inventories, for that matter) at record highs, but new data shows that profits have also declined.
According to the Q2 2021 US Home Flipping report from ATTOM Data Solutions, profit margins are at their lowest in 10 years for domestic pinball machines. Typical gross profit in the second quarter was $ 67,000, a mere 33.5% return on investment over the original purchase price. This is considerably down from previous years. In the first quarter of 2021, returns on investment stood at around 37%. A year ago, they were 40.6%.
According to ATTOM, this is “the lowest point since the first quarter of 2011, when the housing market had yet to begin to recover from a fall in prices caused by the Great Recession in the late 2000s. “.
The culprit is clearly soaring house prices. The median selling price of returned homes reached $ 267,000 last quarter, an all-time high. Those prices rose nearly 19% over the year – barely enough to offset the 25% jump in the purchase price that investors faced upstream.
“This gap – with prices increasing more at buy than at resale – has resulted in lower profit margins,” ATTOM reported.
Low inventory levels (especially foreclosures and other distressed properties) and increasing competition – both from investors and traditional home buyers – aren’t helping matters either.
ATTOM data shows turnaround rates increased in 144 of the 182 largest markets in the first quarter, indicating a slight increase in competition across much of the country.
Pinball machines are the most competitive in Savannah, Georgia, where flips accounted for a whopping 9.5% of all home sales in the last quarter. Fort Wayne, Indiana; Canton, Ohio; Ogden, Utah; and Indianapolis also saw some big flip jumps.
Exceptions to the rule
Unfortunately, not all markets posted the 33% average return for the quarter, no matter how small. In fact, some cities’ fins have seen a return on investment only a fraction of it.
For example, in Gulfport, Mississippi, the typical pinball machine suffered a 7.8% loss on its investments. In Corpus Christi, Texas, they made just 0.7% – barely enough to justify the time commitment a home flip requires.
Fortunately, there are still some markets where fins can really profit. In Oklahoma City, second-quarter fins achieved an average return on investment of 196%.
Other cities to see returns above 100% are Fargo, North Dakota; Omaha, Nebraska; Pittsburgh and York, Pennsylvania; and Philadelphia.
Millionacres net profit
Things don’t look too sunny for those in the flipping game. Fortunately, with the end of forbearance options, more distressed properties could start to hit the market. This could help lower home prices and allow investors to earn a better profit after the renovation. (Lower labor and material costs would also help a lot!)
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