Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Spread: Bengals -7.5 | OR 46
Week 4 kicks off Thursday night with the Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals enter this week after a surprise win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. By comparison, the Jacksonville Jaguars enter this week 0-3 after losing to the Arizona Cardinals. So, this game is the story of two different teams, with the Bengals’ future looking bright and the Jaguars struggling to progress in the NFL.
How should each team approach this game to win? Let’s break it down below.
How do the Jacksonville Jaguars win this game?
The Bengals’ defense has come as a surprise to most in the NFL this year. However, if the Jaguars are going to score more points, they will have to attack this defense from the air. The Bengals defense surrendered 541 yards to wide receivers, which is the 10th worst in the NFL. With the Bengals’ deficiency against the pass, this attacking course matches the strength of the Jaguars as they have three capable and talented wide receivers in Marvin Jones Jr., DJ Chark Jr., Laviska Shenault Jr.
The Jaguars’ biggest concern is to limit Trevor Lawrence’s turnovers. In three weeks, Lawrence threw seven interceptions. Lawrence has nine turnovers in total, which is the most turnovers in the NFL this season.
How do the Cincinnati Bengals win the game?
The Bengals will rely on their defense to wreak havoc on the rookie quarterback, while on offense they should focus on the aerial attack on Jacksonville. The Jaguars are the sixth-worst team against quarterbacks in passing yards. They have already allowed 935 yards this season. Therefore, I would expect Joe Burrow to hook up with Ja’Marr Chase during the stable clip produced all season.
Now that we’ve covered how each team must develop a game plan to win, let’s break down the best games in the DFS Showdown.
Joe Burrow ($ 11,600)
Burrow starts the fourth week on a hot spot when he threw three touchdowns last week, on just 18 passes. The positive sign of this game was to see Burrow move and rush for seven yards. It’s not a lot of yards, but the fact that he’s starting to trust his body again after his late-season injury last year should put a smile on fantasy managers. With the Jaguars already giving up the sixth-most quartering yards this season, I love Burrow in my lineup.
Trevor Lawrence ($ 10,400)
As discussed above, Lawrence has been a countdown machine this season. However, the bright spot for DFS is the number of attempts he has had in each game. In three games this year, he threw more than 30 attempts in each game. Lawrence even had one game in 50 attempts. Sadly, Lawrence continues to find himself in negative game scripts and, because of this, will have to keep throwing the rock. So take their high attempt total and make sure they’re in your lineup.
Joe Mixon ($ 11,000)
This year, Joe Mixon has been a workaholic for the Cincinnati Bengals. Last week was his lowest ground attempt total for the season at 18, so I expect more races for Mixon on Thursday night. The Bengals are expected to have a positive playing story for most of the game, which is conducive to more ball circulation, and the Jaguars have allowed four full-backs this season (fourth in the NFL).
James Robinson ($ 9,400)
James Robinson eclipsed 100 yards of scrimmage for the first time this season against the Cardinals’ weak defense. The problem for Robinson is he’s facing a Bengals defense that has allowed just 174 rushing yards this season, which is the eighth-best in the NFL. Therefore, Robinson will need to produce in the passing game to be relevant to your DFS lineup. Fortunately, the Bengals’ defense has given the running backs the most receptions (31) this season. With the Jaguars being in a negative play script most of the time, you can see higher than usual receiving totals here.
Carlos Hyde ($ 1,800)
Don’t be too cute with your queues; Carlos Hyde faces a solid run defense and doesn’t offer much in terms of passing play. I would fade Hyde for this game.
Ja’Marr Chase ($ 10,200)
Ja’Marr Chase has had a difficult preseason. However, when games started to matter, her connection with Joe Burrow began to shine through. He had one touchdown every week and had two touchdowns last week. At this point in the season, we have enough information to see the build of the model. This model in Cincinnati says that Burrow likes to throw at Chase; therefore, Chase should be in your queues.
Marvin Jones Jr. ($ 8,600)
The next most expensive wide receiver on this slate comes from Jacksonville. Marvin Jones Jr. has entered this season with eight or more targets in every game, and he’s also had over 50 yards in every game this season. We’ve talked about how you should attack the Bengals defense through the pass attack before, and I expect Lawrence to look for Jones even more in this game.
Tee Higgins ($ 8,000)
Tee Higgins was on the non-participating list for Tuesday’s practice. I would make him go away this week and would rather have Chase or Tyler Boyd before I lean on a player who is not healthy for a short week.
Tyler Boyd ($ 7,400)
Tyler Boyd could see a slight increase in targets if Higgins misses the game again. Without Higgins, he saw six targets last week in Pittsburgh. With a cheaper salary and the Jaguars dropping the fourth most passing yards in the NFL, Boyd could be a great player for your roster.
DJ Chark Jr. ($ 7,200)
DJ Chark is a touchdown dependent player. Chark Jr played a 12-target game this year and came away with three receptions. He also played a game with a catch for 19 yards. His stock is a bit too Boom / Bust for me to want to put him on my list.
Laviska Shenault Jr. ($ 6,600)
Shenault Jr. placed second on the team in targets in the first two weeks of the season, but was fifth last week for the Jaguars. With Shenault mostly working under the roads, you’ll need him to break free from the dominance of your roster. It might be better to spend your money elsewhere.
Dan Arnold ($ 4,400)
Dan Arnold was just traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. Arnold is a very talented pass catcher, but with the short week and his recent arrival to the squad, fade Arnold this week for your rosters.
CJ Uzomah ($ 4000)
CJ Uzomah has five goals in total this year. You can shoot a dart so that it falls into the end zone. However, I suggest you look elsewhere for your list.
Jacob Hollister ($ 1,000)
Jacob Hollister is not a superstar game for your list. However, with James O’Shaughnessy injured, Hollister saw six targets in the last game. Therefore, Hollister could be a cheap dart throwing game for your roster this Thursday night.
Defense and kickers
Bengals D ($ 5,600) / Evan McPherson ($ 3,800) / Josh Lambo ($ 3,600) / Jaguars D ($ 3,000)
The only one of those options I’m looking to put in my roster is Bengals defense. They’ve played surprisingly well this season, and they get Lawrence, who already has nine turnovers this season. If your roster needs a kicker I suggest loaning Evan McPherson as Josh Lambo has struggled so far in 2021.
Prediction and programming
The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 26-21.
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DFS Showdown Head To Head Cash Line
- Ja’Marr Chase ($ 15,300) * Captain *
- Bengals D ($ 5,600)
- Joe Burrow ($ 11,600)
- Trevor Lawrence ($ 10,400)
- Evan McPherson ($ 3,800)
- Jacob Hollister ($ 1,800)
Are you looking for DFS screenings for the whole list of games this weekend? Check out our NFL DFS screenings!
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Former minor league football player / TKO winner. Huge Philadelphia Eagles fan, born and raised in Philadelphia, who also named their mascot (Swoop) for the team. Huge fantasy football fanatic who is all about the stats and ready to debate any topic. I have written for major sports and fitness publications. Things I’ll debate until my last breath: Superman is the best superhero, Tim Tebow would have been a lasting QB had he been to the Jacksonville Jaguars, and pineapples have no place on pizza. .